Big govt, Elections, Politics

Midterms Eve Poll Reveals Republican Leading House Race in Montana

The odds are increasingly a toss-up for Democrats to take back the U.S. House of Representatives, with a new poll putting Republican Matt Rosendale ahead of incumbent Democratic Rep. Jon Tester in Montana. More significant is that Democrats are doing the polling at Harris Interactive/Scott Rasmussen. Their previous polls put Tester ahead by 6-7 points over the past few days and last month ahead by as much as 9-10 points. This could be a sign of a very big surprise at the end of Election Day.

Here’s more from Hot Air…

If you can believe it, this is only the second poll all year in which Matt Rosendale has led Tester by any margin. (A Republican pollster had him up by two points in late August.) Not only that, some of Tester’s leads lately have been gory. The Harris Interactive/Scott Rasmussen poll has put ahead consistently by 6-7 points over the last few days and two other polls taken in mid-October had him ahead by 9-10(!).

Which means Change Research, the pollster responsible for this new data, will either be embarrassed tomorrow night or have bragging rights over other Montana pollsters for years to come.

If their name sounds familiar, by the way, it’s because they’re the same firm that proclaimed a dead heat between Ted Cruz and Beto O’Rourke in Texas yesterday. Change Research is out on a lot of limbs right now.

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